polymarket Politics

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

180-199
Closes Jun 19, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $25.7K Open interest $493.4K Event Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
42%
implied YES probability
+15.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 8 days · High 28% · Low 14% · 7d +89.7pp
28%14%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

200-219
28% YES
24h vol $34.8K
160-179
18% YES
24h vol $34.7K
220-239
8% YES
24h vol $54.6K
140-159
3% YES
24h vol $40.8K
240-259
1% YES
24h vol $62.8K
260-279
0% YES
24h vol $21.0K
120-139
0% YES
24h vol $54.0K
280-299
0% YES
24h vol $29.4K

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.