polymarket
Politics
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
8%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 58 days ·
High 40% ·
Low 6%
· 7d +23.1pp
· 30d -61.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Walmart plays defense against Amazon with major June summer sales event
Seeking Alpha · 18h ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.