polymarket Technology

Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Microsoft
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $2 Open interest $7.4K Event Which company has the best AI Agent end of July?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 10 days · High 29% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp
29%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

Anthropic
79% YES
24h vol $1.5K
OpenAI
21% YES
24h vol $2.7K
Google
0% YES
24h vol $1.1K
Baidu
0% YES
24h vol $835
Mistral
0% YES
24h vol $856
xAI
0% YES
24h vol $177
Meta
0% YES
24h vol $960
ByteDance
0% YES
24h vol $153

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

MSFT Microsoft Corp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.