polymarket Politics

Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?

December 31
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $22 Open interest $15.5K Event Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?
46%
implied YES probability
-4.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 37 days · High 38% · Low 12% · 7d +130.3pp · 30d +100.0pp
38%12%

How this market resolves

On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.