polymarket
Politics
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Democrat
64%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 79% ·
Low 53%
· 7d +0.8pp
· 30d -12.8pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Other outcomes in this event
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