polymarket Technology

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

1530
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $81 Open interest $7.5K Event Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?
1%
implied YES probability
-1.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 74 days · High 65% · Low 1% · 7d -88.6pp · 30d -92.4pp
65%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Other outcomes in this event

1510
14% YES
24h vol $952
1520
2% YES
24h vol $345

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

AREN The Arena Group Holdings, Inc.

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.