polymarket Politics

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?

December 31, 2026
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume $382 Open interest $2.5K Event U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
32%
implied YES probability
+12.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 42 days · High 49% · Low 10% · 7d -26.1pp · 30d +62.5pp
49%10%

How this market resolves

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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