What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2025. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

December 31, 2026

Closes Dec 31, 2025 (0d) 24h volume $1.3K Open interest $13.1K Event China x India military clash by...?

10%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 22% · Low 7% · 7d +133.3pp · 30d +40.0pp

This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.