polymarket
World
Nothing Ever Happens: July
82%
implied YES probability
+5.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 14 days ·
High 88% ·
Low 76%
· 7d -12.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July
31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- USA or any African Country wins the World Cup
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Fed decides any change in July
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.