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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $2.5K Open interest $59.9K Event Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 94% · Low 76% · 7d -2.2pp · 30d +1.8pp
94%76%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.