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Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

2400
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $1.4K Open interest $11.3K Event Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
1%
implied YES probability
-2.4pp 24h

Price history

Last 23 days · High 50% · Low 1% · 7d -48.5pp
50%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Other outcomes in this event

2150
38% YES
24h vol $717
2200
8% YES
24h vol $428
2300
3% YES
24h vol $515

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.