polymarket Weather

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

2150
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $717 Open interest $11.3K Event Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
38%
implied YES probability
-6.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 21 days · High 72% · Low 24% · 7d -4.9pp
72%24%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Other outcomes in this event

2200
8% YES
24h vol $428
2300
3% YES
24h vol $515
2400
1% YES
24h vol $1.4K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.