What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Tracy Dendy

Closes May 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $15 Open interest $66.4K Event Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 78 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.