What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

Marsha Blackburn

Closes Aug 06, 2026 (27d) 24h volume $390 Open interest $4.2K Event Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

94%

implied YES probability

-1.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 38 days · High 98% · Low 90% · 7d +0.1pp · 30d +0.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.