polymarket Economics

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Decrease
Closes Jul 24, 2026 (14d) 24h volume $1.7K Open interest $55.6K Event Bank of Russia decision in July?
30%
implied YES probability
-13.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 44 days · High 88% · Low 44% · 7d -15.5pp · 30d -46.6pp
88%44%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Other outcomes in this event

No Change
66% YES
24h vol $5.1K
Increase
3% YES
24h vol $5.0K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.