polymarket Politics

Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Elon Musk
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume — Open interest $291.1K Event Who visited Epstein's Island?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 5% · Low 1% · 7d -13.3pp · 30d -58.1pp
5%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Richard Branson
100% YES
24h vol —
Steven Tisch
3% YES
24h vol —
Steve Bannon
3% YES
24h vol —
Woody Allen
2% YES
24h vol $10
Bill Gates
2% YES
24h vol $40
Deepak Chopra
2% YES
24h vol —
Michael Jackson
1% YES
24h vol $179
Harvey Weinstein
1% YES
24h vol $14

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.