polymarket
Politics
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
No next Home Secretary in 2026
90%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 16 days ·
High 88% ·
Low 63%
· 7d +8.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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