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Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?

July 28
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $55 Open interest $13.5K Event Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
94%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 9 days · High 94% · Low 90% · 7d +2.2pp
94%90%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

July 11
94% YES
24h vol $301
July 10
93% YES
24h vol $106
July 13
92% YES
24h vol $23
July 17
92% YES
24h vol $20
July 15
92% YES
24h vol $23
July 16
92% YES
24h vol $23
July 18
92% YES
24h vol $22
July 12
91% YES
24h vol $419

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.