polymarket Pop Culture

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?

July 16
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $23 Open interest $13.6K Event Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
92%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 9 days · High 92% · Low 90% · 7d +1.7pp
92%90%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

July 28
94% YES
24h vol $55
July 11
92% YES
24h vol $393
July 10
92% YES
24h vol $110
July 13
92% YES
24h vol $22
July 17
92% YES
24h vol $20
July 15
92% YES
24h vol $22
July 18
92% YES
24h vol $22
July 14
91% YES
24h vol $151

Recent news mentioning this market

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.