polymarket Politics

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $354 Open interest $13.4K Event Modi out by December 31, 2026?
9%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 14% · Low 6% · 7d +15.7pp · 30d -8.5pp
14%6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.