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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026?

Nicolás Maduro
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $2.5K Open interest $6.2K Event Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
100%
implied YES probability
+58.4pp 24h

Price history

Last 11 days · High 100% · Low 40% · 7d +73.8pp
100%40%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Other outcomes in this event

Zohran Mamdani
40% YES
24h vol $16
Keir Starmer
38% YES
24h vol $2
Freidrich Merz
28% YES
24h vol $55
Benjamin Netanyahu
18% YES
24h vol $125
Vladimir Putin
12% YES
24h vol $1
Xi Jinping
1% YES
24h vol $1.0K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.