What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Esther Charlestin

Closes Aug 11, 2026 (54d) 24h volume $75 Open interest $4.4K Event Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

implied YES probability

-2.4pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 28% · Low 1% · 7d -51.1pp · 30d -47.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.