polymarket
Politics
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Donald Trump
13%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 22 days ·
High 18% ·
Low 4%
· 7d +190.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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India’s Modi Warns of Trust Deficit Ahead of Meeting With Trump
Bloomberg Politics · 2h ago
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‘Humiliation’: Trump battles charge his Iran deal is worse than Obama’s
Financial Times · 2h ago
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LARRY KUDLOW: Trump has smashed Iran’s capabilities for decades
Fox Business Latest · 5h ago
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Congress Demand Details, Vote on Trump-Iran Deal
Bloomberg Politics · 8h ago
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Netanyahu Pays Political Price for Iran Gambit With Trump
Bloomberg Politics · 9h ago
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