polymarket
World
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
10%
implied YES probability
+1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 16% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -30.4pp
· 30d -42.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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