polymarket
World
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
June 30, 2026
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 18% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -21.9pp
· 30d -63.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.