polymarket
Politics
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
10%
implied YES probability
+5.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 77 days ·
High 10% ·
Low 4%
· 7d +26.1pp
· 30d +0.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.