polymarket Politics

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

1360-1399
Closes Aug 01, 2026 (44d) 24h volume $71 Open interest $22.9K Event Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 25 days · High 4% · Low 1% · 7d +10.0pp
4%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

880-919
13% YES
24h vol $3.1K
840-879
10% YES
24h vol $2.0K
800-839
8% YES
24h vol $362
720-759
6% YES
24h vol $519
760-799
6% YES
24h vol $35
960-999
5% YES
24h vol $472
920-959
4% YES
24h vol $584
1000-1039
4% YES
24h vol $9

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.