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Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Iván Cepeda Castro
Closes Jun 22, 2026 (4d) 24h volume $4.7K Open interest $20.9K Event Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá
36%
implied YES probability
-21.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 13 days · High 76% · Low 36% · 7d -27.6pp
76%36%

How this market resolves

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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