What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Jeff Colyer

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (47d) 24h volume $160 Open interest $5.4K Event Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 81 days · High 47% · Low 1% · 7d -57.7pp · 30d -97.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.