What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on —. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Uruguay

Closes — 24h volume $105 Open interest $591.1K Event World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

22%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 16 days · High 23% · Low 19% · 7d +2.4pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.