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Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Fernando Haddad
Closes Oct 04, 2026 (86d) 24h volume $7 Open interest $46.9K Event Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 16% · Low 0% · 7d +57.1pp · 30d -89.9pp
16%0%

How this market resolves

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Other outcomes in this event

Renan Santos
60% YES
24h vol $2.8K
Ronaldo Caiado
15% YES
24h vol $1.6K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.