polymarket Technology

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

No IPO by June 30, 2026
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $11.3K Open interest $103.5K Event Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
100%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 100% · Low 93% · 7d +0.1pp · 30d +0.9pp
100%93%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Other outcomes in this event

600B+
0% YES
24h vol $425
400–600B
0% YES
24h vol $6.0K
<100B
0% YES
24h vol —
100–200B
0% YES
24h vol —
200–300B
0% YES
24h vol —
300–400B
0% YES
24h vol —

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.