polymarket Politics

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Democrat
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (138d) 24h volume $180 Open interest $14.4K Event Arizona Governor Election Winner
78%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 78% · Low 70% · 7d -0.6pp · 30d +4.7pp
78%70%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.