What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $887 Open interest $7.4K Event Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 86 days · High 21% · Low 0% · 7d -38.5pp · 30d -73.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.