Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Spain's elimination from the Group Stage of the 2026 World Cup currently indicates a 0% probability that they will be eliminated at this stage. This assessment is informed by known facts about Spain's recent performance and their position in the tournament draw. The current price suggests that the market does not expect Spain to struggle significantly in the early stages of the competition. A change in this assessment would likely require significant developments, such as a major injury crisis or a poor start to the tournament, which could increase the likelihood of elimination.