polymarket
Politics
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
Elon Musk
4%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 4%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Trump says Elon Musk will donate SpaceX stock to Trump Accounts — but the world's richest man still hasn't said a word
Yahoo Finance · 2h ago
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Wall Street Finds a New Way to Help Investors Avoid Elon Musk
Bloomberg Markets · 2h ago
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Elon Musk Lost His Trillionaire Status as SpaceX Shares Dropped 26%. Are Tesla and SpaceX Stock Still a Buy?
Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
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CME Group Is Launching Elon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX Futures Contracts on July 27. Here's the Investment Case.
Motley Fool · 3h ago
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Elon Musk Lost His Trillionaire Status as SpaceX Shares Dropped 26%. Are Tesla and SpaceX Stock Still a Buy?
Motley Fool · 3h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.