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Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

CDU
Closes Sep 06, 2026 (80d) 24h volume $2.5K Open interest $9.3K Event Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
90%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 92% · Low 84% · 7d -1.6pp · 30d -2.7pp
92%84%

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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