polymarket
Politics
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
CDU
90%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 92% ·
Low 84%
· 7d -1.6pp
· 30d -2.7pp
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Prediction: Apple Stock Will Go On a Bull Run in the Second Half of 2026
Motley Fool · 11h ago
-
Gold IRA vs. Gold ETF in 2026: A 28% tax difference most investors miss
Yahoo Finance · 12h ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.