What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Larry Rhoden

Closes Jun 02, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $100 Open interest $44.2K Event South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

57%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 58% · Low 4% · 7d +22.3pp · 30d +24.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.