What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Ben Midgley win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ben Midgley

Closes Jun 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $60 Open interest $14.2K Event Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

-2.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 89 days · High 40% · Low 1% · 7d +17.2pp · 30d -86.4pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.