polymarket Politics

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

June 30
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $7.3K Open interest $24.2K Event JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
88%
implied YES probability
+1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 48 days · High 88% · Low 10% · 7d +506.9pp · 30d +179.4pp
88%10%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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