What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $1.8K Open interest $170.2K Event Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 28% · Low 3% · 7d +38.0pp · 30d -45.5pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.