polymarket
Politics
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
3%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 19 days ·
High 30% ·
Low 3%
· 7d -63.8pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Congress Demand Details, Vote on Trump-Iran Deal
Bloomberg Politics · 8h ago
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US-Iran accord signing planned for June 19 in Switzerland, Swiss govt says
Investing.com · 13h ago
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Trump signals he could send details of Iran deal to Congress
CNBC Top News · 13h ago
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