polymarket Sports

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight won by submission?
Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $2.9K Open interest $2.4M Event UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
10%
implied YES probability
-7.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 53 days · High 32% · Low 6% · 7d +8.7pp · 30d -54.5pp
32%6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.