What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Tayte Willows

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (4d) 24h volume $2.9K Open interest $5.6K Event 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner

54%

implied YES probability

+2.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 8 days · High 59% · Low 44% · 7d +34.1pp

How this market resolves

A by-election for the Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly District 16 (Cornwall-Meadowbank) is currently scheduled to be held on July 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections PEI (https://www.electionspei.ca/).

Other outcomes in this event

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