What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

Jair Bolsonaro

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $7 Open interest $64.4K Event Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 88 days · High 10% · Low 8% · 7d -19.1pp · 30d -10.5pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

Price history

How this market resolves

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