polymarket
Politics
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
94%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 96% ·
Low 88%
· 7d -0.6pp
· 30d +3.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.