polymarket Politics

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (128d) 24h volume $279 Open interest $166.9K Event Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 97% · Low 92% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp
97%92%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.