What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Troy Green

Closes Jun 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $2.2K Open interest $5.9K Event Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

implied YES probability

+1.8pp 24h

Price history

Last 32 days · High 16% · Low 1% · 7d -60.3pp · 30d -76.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.