polymarket Politics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?

July 31
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $277 Open interest $3.4K Event Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
4%
implied YES probability
-6.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 14 days · High 47% · Low 10% · 7d -29.6pp
47%10%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.