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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $629 Open interest $12.5K Event Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 86 days · High 8% · Low 1% · 7d -40.0pp · 30d -75.3pp
8%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.