polymarket
World
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
18%
implied YES probability
+4.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 42% ·
Low 14%
· 7d +6.1pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.